Scouting Report
Radek Faksa holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Donato on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Faksa wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Faksa 53.2% vs Donato 47.1% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 91.1%
Defensive zone
Donato 56.0%
Neutral zone
Donato 74.7%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 81.4%
18.6%
81.4%
Faksa
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Faksa
Donato
Last 7: Faksa 2-5 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
4
Faksa
Donato
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
1
0
Faksa
Donato
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Faksa
Donato
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Faksa
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (289)
46.8% (297)
+9.6%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
41.0% (39)
-41.0%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (126)
100.0% (1)
-50.8%
On penalty kill, Donato has a +50.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Faksa is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (273).
Faksa shoots left. Donato is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
Faksa
Donato
Home
54.9% (182)
45.8% (142)
Away
53.2% (235)
46.7% (195)
By Period
Faksa
Donato
P1
61.1%
49.5%
P2
51.3%
45.7%
P3
50.0%
43.4%
Final 5 min
49.1%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
54.0%
Donato
40.0%▼
46.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 17:37 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 09:14 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 11:21 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 13:18 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 08:11 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 17:56 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 11:32 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |