Scouting Report
Radek Faksa holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Donato on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Faksa 52.4% vs Donato 44.7% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Donato leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Donato 84.5%
Defensive zone
Faksa 82.9%
Neutral zone
Donato 53.9%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 63.5%
36.5%
63.5%
Faksa
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Faksa
Donato
Last 10: Faksa 5-5 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
2
6
Faksa
Donato
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
3
0
Faksa
Donato
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Donato
1
2
Faksa
Donato
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Faksa
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (6,681)
44.0% (1,218)
+8.8%
Power Play
57.7% (291)
46.0% (248)
+11.7%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (1,372)
41.7% (12)
+7.6%
On power play, Faksa has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Faksa is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (5,193).
Faksa shoots left. Donato is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (909).
Home / Away
Faksa
Donato
Home
52.9% (4,092)
47.2% (743)
Away
51.9% (4,252)
41.4% (735)
By Period
Faksa
Donato
P1
53.0%
43.8%
P2
52.5%
44.9%
P3
52.0%
43.7%
OT
45.3%
70.0%
Final 5 min
52.9%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
52.4%
Donato
40.0%▼
46.0%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 17:37 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 09:14 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 11:21 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 13:18 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 08:11 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 17:56 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 11:32 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 04:36 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 3 | 08:25 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 1 | 10:05 | Offensive | Radek Faksa |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 16:40 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 16:27 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 13:39 | Offensive | Radek Faksa |
| Dec 1, 2019 | 2 | 12:43 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |