Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Kupari wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kupari 44.4% vs Hertl 52.3% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kupari 82.3%
Defensive zone
Kupari 83.3%
Neutral zone
Kupari 81.1%
Result
Rasmus Kupari favored at 82.5%
82.5%
17.5%
Kupari
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Kupari
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Kupari
Hertl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
2
Kupari
Hertl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Kupari
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kupari
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (275)
51.6% (1,084)
-8.7%
Power Play
35.7% (14)
61.0% (246)
-25.3%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (14)
44.1% (136)
-1.2%
On power play, Hertl has a +25.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Kupari is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (222).
Kupari shoots right. Hertl is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (526).
Home / Away
Kupari
Hertl
Home
46.6% (163)
55.2% (696)
Away
37.9% (140)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Kupari
Hertl
P1
38.7%
55.4%
P2
42.5%
54.8%
P3
47.0%
48.9%
Final 5 min
41.3%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kupari
48.0%▼
51.5%
42.6%
Hertl
58.0%▬
58.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2022 | 3 | 16:55 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 3 | 00:53 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 2 | 18:50 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 1 | 06:44 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |