Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kupari wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kupari 50.4% vs Seguin 53.6% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kupari 61.4%
Defensive zone
Kupari 68.4%
Neutral zone
Kupari 66.2%
Result
Rasmus Kupari favored at 66.7%
66.7%
33.3%
Kupari
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Kupari
Seguin
Last 9: Kupari 1-8 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Kupari
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
3
Kupari
Seguin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
4
Kupari
Seguin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kupari
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (1,275)
53.7% (8,071)
-3.2%
Power Play
43.5% (23)
55.9% (810)
-12.4%
Penalty Kill
50.4% (139)
49.3% (762)
+1.1%
On power play, Seguin has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Kupari is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (381).
Kupari shoots right. Seguin is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,846).
Home / Away
Kupari
Seguin
Home
51.4% (782)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
49.2% (655)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Kupari
Seguin
P1
49.9%
52.8%
P2
48.5%
53.3%
P3
52.9%
54.7%
Final 5 min
51.0%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kupari
48.0%▼
51.5%
50.4%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 08:23 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 3 | 03:36 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 07:17 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 18:42 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 18:34 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 11:14 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 07:59 | Defensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 07:02 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 08:00 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |