Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Gardner on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Gardner wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gardner 47.0% vs Colton 51.1% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colton 63.6%
Defensive zone
Colton 67.1%
Neutral zone
Colton 57.9%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 60.1%
39.9%
60.1%
Gardner
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Gardner
Colton
Last 7: Gardner 4-3 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colton
0
1
Gardner
Colton
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Colton
0
1
Gardner
Colton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gardner
4
1
Gardner
Colton
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gardner
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (162)
51.6% (1,803)
-7.2%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
48.8% (162)
+51.2%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
34.5% (29)
+32.2%
On power play, Gardner has a +51.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Gardner is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (113).
Gardner shoots left. Colton is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,297).
Home / Away
Gardner
Colton
Home
45.1% (51)
52.0% (1,015)
Away
45.2% (115)
50.3% (979)
By Period
Gardner
Colton
P1
42.3%
53.7%
P2
52.6%
52.6%
P3
40.4%
47.9%
Final 5 min
56.3%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gardner
50.0%▲
45.2%
45.2%
Colton
46.0%▲
44.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2022 | 1 | 00:14 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Rhett Gardner |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 3 | 09:50 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 3 | 02:43 | Neutral | Rhett Gardner |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 2 | 13:27 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 2 | 09:05 | Neutral | Rhett Gardner |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 1 | 17:26 | Neutral | Rhett Gardner |