Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +19.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Staal wins 65.0% vs right-shot opponents — Rakell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Rakell 41.0% (+19.2%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 78.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 97.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 86.7%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 89.4%
89.4%
10.6%
Staal
Rakell
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Staal
Rakell
Last 10: Staal 8-2 Rakell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Rakell
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
0
Staal
Rakell
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
1
Staal
Rakell
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Rakell
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (989)
35.7% (129)
+20.5%
Power Play
66.0% (159)
43.8% (32)
+22.2%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (253)
0.0% (7)
+42.7%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +42.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rakell shoots right. Staal is 65.0% vs right-shot opponents (431).
Staal shoots left. Rakell is 39.2% vs left-shot opponents (97).
Home / Away
Staal
Rakell
Home
55.4% (699)
41.5% (82)
Away
54.4% (702)
30.2% (86)
By Period
Staal
Rakell
P1
55.7%
35.1%
P2
54.7%
37.5%
P3
53.4%
32.6%
OT
70.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Rakell
42.0%▲
35.5%
35.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | OT | 02:31 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 13:57 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 17:59 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 17:59 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 13:53 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 12:13 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 07:46 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |