Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +16.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 51.8% vs Rakell 41.0% (+16.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 65.1%
Defensive zone
Zacha 95.1%
Neutral zone
Zacha 80.1%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 80.1%
80.1%
19.9%
Zacha
Rakell
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Zacha
Rakell
Last 7: Zacha 5-2 Rakell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
0
Zacha
Rakell
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
0
Zacha
Rakell
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
3
2
Zacha
Rakell
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Rakell
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (700)
35.7% (129)
+17.3%
Power Play
54.1% (109)
43.8% (32)
+10.3%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (74)
0.0% (7)
+39.2%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +39.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rakell shoots right. Zacha is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Zacha shoots left. Rakell is 39.2% vs left-shot opponents (97).
Home / Away
Zacha
Rakell
Home
51.6% (438)
41.5% (82)
Away
52.4% (445)
30.2% (86)
By Period
Zacha
Rakell
P1
57.0%
35.1%
P2
48.9%
37.5%
P3
50.5%
32.6%
OT
42.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.0%
Rakell
42.0%▲
35.5%
35.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 11:18 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 12:35 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 12:23 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 00:40 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 19:54 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |