Rickard Rakell vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Rakell wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rakell 40.7% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% (-11.0%)
Offensive zone
Rakell 53.0%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 56.7%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 50.1%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Rakell
Nugent-Hopkins
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rakell
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
35.3% (136)
46.0% (250)
-10.7%
Power Play
43.8% (32)
70.6% (17)
-26.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (7)
31.8% (22)
-31.8%
On penalty kill, Nugent-Hopkins has a +31.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Rakell is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (100).
Rakell shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
Rakell
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
41.5% (82)
50.3% (175)
Away
30.1% (93)
40.4% (114)
By Period
Rakell
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
35.6%
48.5%
P2
37.3%
45.9%
P3
31.1%
46.5%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rakell
38.0%▲
35.0%
35.4%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
46.4%