Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.5% vs 45.2%). Rakell wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Smyth shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rakell 44.8% vs Smyth 45.8% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smyth 53.0%
Defensive zone
Smyth 62.5%
Neutral zone
Smyth 50.5%
Result
Ryan Smyth favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Rakell
Smyth
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Rakell
Smyth
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rakell
2
0
Rakell
Smyth
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rakell
Smyth
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (1,886)
45.2% (456)
-1.0%
Power Play
50.2% (203)
51.8% (164)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
21.7% (23)
23.3% (43)
-1.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smyth shoots left. Rakell is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,344).
Rakell shoots right. Smyth is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Rakell
Smyth
Home
46.6% (1,055)
49.7% (340)
Away
42.4% (1,058)
40.5% (326)
By Period
Rakell
Smyth
P1
45.6%
48.3%
P2
41.9%
41.7%
P3
46.1%
46.5%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
44.7%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rakell
38.0%▲
35.0%
44.5%
Smyth
50.0%▬
50.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2014 | 2 | 06:39 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Mar 28, 2014 | 2 | 06:27 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |