Scouting Report
Ridly Greig holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Greig on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 49.6% vs Greig 51.1% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 88.0%
Defensive zone
Greig 73.4%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 69.1%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Fantilli
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Fantilli
Greig
Last 7: Fantilli 2-5 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Fantilli
Greig
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
0
3
Fantilli
Greig
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Fantilli
Greig
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (887)
51.9% (347)
-2.5%
Power Play
51.4% (105)
66.7% (24)
-15.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
44.8% (87)
+5.2%
On power play, Greig has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Fantilli is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (657).
Fantilli shoots left. Greig is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (238).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Greig
Home
50.7% (503)
50.4% (254)
Away
48.5% (501)
52.5% (204)
By Period
Fantilli
Greig
P1
47.0%
45.9%
P2
52.5%
60.1%
P3
49.7%
49.2%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.6%
Greig
58.0%▲
52.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 09:03 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 14:13 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 08:33 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 09:20 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 13:09 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 06:58 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |