Scouting Report
Ridly Greig holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Greig on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Schmaltz wins 41.8% vs left-shot opponents — Greig shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 46.6% vs Greig 51.1% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 94.5%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 51.8%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 78.1%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
Schmaltz
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Schmaltz
Greig
Last 7: Schmaltz 1-6 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
0
Schmaltz
Greig
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
0
5
Schmaltz
Greig
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greig
0
1
Schmaltz
Greig
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (697)
51.9% (347)
-6.0%
Power Play
47.9% (117)
66.7% (24)
-18.8%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (25)
44.8% (87)
+3.2%
On power play, Greig has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Schmaltz shoots right. Greig is 58.2% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Greig
Home
44.9% (434)
50.4% (254)
Away
47.7% (405)
52.5% (204)
By Period
Schmaltz
Greig
P1
41.5%
45.9%
P2
46.7%
60.1%
P3
51.1%
49.2%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
40.5%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
46.2%
Greig
58.0%▲
52.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 04:12 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 19:21 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 19:05 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 16:31 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 07:06 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 00:33 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 17:58 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |