Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.3% vs 52.2%). Greig wins 58.2% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Greig 51.1% vs Thomas 51.9% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 62.3%
Defensive zone
Greig 75.1%
Neutral zone
Thomas 54.2%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Greig
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Greig
Thomas
Last 5: Greig 1-4 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
2
Greig
Thomas
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Greig
Thomas
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Greig
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Greig
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (347)
50.3% (652)
+1.6%
Power Play
66.7% (24)
61.5% (104)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (87)
54.2% (120)
-9.4%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Greig is 58.2% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Greig shoots left. Thomas is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Greig
Thomas
Home
50.4% (254)
52.0% (400)
Away
52.5% (204)
52.3% (476)
By Period
Greig
Thomas
P1
45.9%
49.6%
P2
60.1%
55.4%
P3
49.2%
51.0%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
54.3%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Greig
58.0%▲
52.0%
51.3%
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 13:25 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 13:14 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:42 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 10:57 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |