Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Greig wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Greig 49.0% vs Thomas 51.6% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Greig 52.5%
Defensive zone
Greig 83.6%
Neutral zone
Greig 63.0%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 65.0%
65.0%
35.0%
Greig
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Greig
Thomas
Last 10: Greig 3-7 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
3
Greig
Thomas
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
2
Greig
Thomas
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
2
Greig
Thomas
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Greig
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (1,144)
51.1% (5,387)
-2.4%
Power Play
56.8% (74)
55.8% (927)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (178)
50.2% (697)
-3.0%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Greig is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (643).
Greig shoots left. Thomas is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,967).
Home / Away
Greig
Thomas
Home
49.9% (688)
50.9% (3,484)
Away
48.0% (708)
52.3% (3,527)
By Period
Greig
Thomas
P1
46.0%
50.7%
P2
51.8%
53.0%
P3
49.1%
50.8%
OT
28.6%
59.2%
Final 5 min
53.2%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Greig
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.9%
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 13:25 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 13:14 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:42 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 10:57 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 05:43 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 03:51 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 15:32 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 1 | 04:16 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 3 | 09:16 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |