Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 49.4%). Look for McLeod on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Greig wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Greig 48.9% vs McLeod 49.4% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Greig
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Greig
McLeod
Last 10: Greig 5-5 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Greig
4
2
Greig
McLeod
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
3
2
Greig
McLeod
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
4
Greig
McLeod
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Greig
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (1,072)
50.3% (3,136)
-2.2%
Power Play
57.5% (73)
52.6% (272)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (156)
43.0% (582)
+6.4%
On penalty kill, Greig has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Greig is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (687).
Greig shoots left. McLeod is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,579).
Home / Away
Greig
McLeod
Home
49.8% (643)
49.8% (2,033)
Away
47.9% (658)
49.0% (1,957)
By Period
Greig
McLeod
P1
45.5%
50.6%
P2
51.3%
48.3%
P3
49.6%
49.8%
OT
33.3%
35.5%
Final 5 min
53.1%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Greig
48.0%▬
48.0%
48.8%
McLeod
50.0%▬
50.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 03:24 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 18:31 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 13:34 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 08:44 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 04:30 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 03:04 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 05:35 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 06:51 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 17:58 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 06:20 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 19:37 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 08:03 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 19:22 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 1 | 04:35 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 01:04 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 19:01 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |