Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.9% vs 49.4%). Look for McLeod on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Greig wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Greig 49.0% vs McLeod 49.5% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
McLeod 57.4%
Defensive zone
Greig 56.0%
Neutral zone
McLeod 53.1%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Greig
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Greig
McLeod
Last 10: Greig 5-5 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Greig
4
2
Greig
McLeod
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
3
2
Greig
McLeod
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
4
Greig
McLeod
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Greig
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (1,144)
50.4% (3,376)
-1.7%
Power Play
56.8% (74)
50.7% (296)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (178)
44.1% (644)
+3.1%
On power play, Greig has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Greig is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Greig shoots left. McLeod is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,809).
Home / Away
Greig
McLeod
Home
49.9% (688)
50.0% (2,202)
Away
48.0% (708)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Greig
McLeod
P1
46.0%
50.8%
P2
51.8%
48.0%
P3
49.1%
50.0%
OT
28.6%
37.1%
Final 5 min
53.2%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Greig
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.9%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 03:24 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 18:31 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 13:34 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 08:44 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 04:30 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 03:04 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 05:35 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 06:51 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 17:58 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 06:20 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 19:37 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 08:03 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 19:22 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 1 | 04:35 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 01:04 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 19:01 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |