Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.9% vs 48.2%). Look for Poehling on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Greig wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Greig 49.0% vs Poehling 48.3% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Greig 56.1%
Defensive zone
Poehling 55.3%
Neutral zone
Poehling 55.2%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Greig
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Greig
Poehling
Last 8: Greig 2-6 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Greig
Poehling
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
4
Greig
Poehling
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greig
2
1
Greig
Poehling
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Greig
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (1,144)
49.6% (2,780)
-0.9%
Power Play
56.8% (74)
51.6% (93)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (178)
41.7% (635)
+5.5%
On penalty kill, Greig has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Greig is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Greig shoots left. Poehling is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,357).
Home / Away
Greig
Poehling
Home
49.9% (688)
49.3% (1,706)
Away
48.0% (708)
47.2% (1,802)
By Period
Greig
Poehling
P1
46.0%
50.8%
P2
51.8%
47.1%
P3
49.1%
47.2%
OT
28.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Greig
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.9%
Poehling
60.0%▲
53.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 04:39 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 09:47 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 00:24 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 19:59 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 16:01 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 19:58 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 07:46 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 12:53 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |