Scouting Report
Ridly Greig holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Greig on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings). Greig wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Greig 49.0% vs Reinhart 43.3% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Greig leads 10-1 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Greig 76.9%
Defensive zone
Greig 95.5%
Neutral zone
Greig 84.8%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 92.9%
92.9%
7.1%
Greig
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
1
(11 meetings)
10
1
Greig
Reinhart
Last 10: Greig 9-1 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
1
Greig
Reinhart
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
9
0
Greig
Reinhart
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greig
1
0
Greig
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Greig
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (1,144)
42.5% (2,173)
+6.2%
Power Play
56.8% (74)
46.5% (525)
+10.3%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (178)
41.3% (339)
+5.9%
On power play, Greig has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Greig is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (643).
Greig shoots left. Reinhart is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,283).
Home / Away
Greig
Reinhart
Home
49.9% (688)
44.9% (1,528)
Away
48.0% (708)
41.2% (1,509)
By Period
Greig
Reinhart
P1
46.0%
44.5%
P2
51.8%
40.5%
P3
49.1%
44.5%
OT
28.6%
43.5%
Final 5 min
53.2%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Greig
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.9%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 17:03 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 08:41 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 12:16 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 05:18 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 05:48 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 19:15 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 10:58 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 08:06 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 14:28 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 10:39 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 02:06 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |