Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Greig wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Greig 49.0% vs Crosby 53.5% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 63.1%
Defensive zone
Greig 84.9%
Neutral zone
Greig 62.4%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 58.3%
58.3%
41.7%
Greig
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
10
(16 meetings)
6
10
Greig
Crosby
Last 10: Greig 4-6 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
7
Greig
Crosby
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
4
1
Greig
Crosby
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Greig
Crosby
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Greig
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (1,144)
52.8% (18,031)
-4.1%
Power Play
56.8% (74)
57.4% (4,741)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (178)
47.0% (766)
+0.2%
On even strength, Crosby has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Greig is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Greig shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,886).
Home / Away
Greig
Crosby
Home
49.9% (688)
55.0% (11,998)
Away
48.0% (708)
52.0% (11,559)
By Period
Greig
Crosby
P1
46.0%
53.6%
P2
51.8%
53.8%
P3
49.1%
53.3%
OT
28.6%
49.6%
Final 5 min
53.2%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Greig
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.9%
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 02:48 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 18:59 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 18:40 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 11:10 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 02:30 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 02:08 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 12:58 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 18:52 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 08:13 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 3 | 02:35 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 19:55 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 06:47 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 12:13 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 03:09 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |