Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Greig wins 58.2% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Greig 51.1% vs Trocheck 56.2% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 61.0%
Defensive zone
Greig 75.8%
Neutral zone
Greig 58.4%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Greig
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Greig
Trocheck
Last 7: Greig 3-4 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
3
Greig
Trocheck
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
2
1
Greig
Trocheck
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Greig
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (347)
58.0% (666)
-6.1%
Power Play
66.7% (24)
64.8% (165)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (87)
43.4% (152)
+1.4%
On even strength, Trocheck has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Greig is 58.2% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Greig shoots left. Trocheck is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Home / Away
Greig
Trocheck
Home
50.4% (254)
55.3% (436)
Away
52.5% (204)
58.1% (547)
By Period
Greig
Trocheck
P1
45.9%
56.4%
P2
60.1%
58.7%
P3
49.2%
55.5%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
54.3%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Greig
58.0%▲
52.0%
51.3%
Trocheck
62.0%▲
55.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2026 | 2 | 13:41 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 14, 2026 | 3 | 09:28 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 14, 2026 | 3 | 08:55 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 14, 2026 | 3 | 07:12 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 11:50 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 12:13 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 05:42 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |