Ridly Greig vs Zemgus Girgensons
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ridly Greig holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Greig wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Greig 49.0% vs Girgensons 45.4% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Girgensons 54.8%
Defensive zone
Greig 52.6%
Neutral zone
Girgensons 57.5%
Result
Zemgus Girgensons favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Greig
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Greig
Girgensons
Last 5: Greig 2-3 Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
0
2
Greig
Girgensons
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
0
1
Greig
Girgensons
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greig
2
0
Greig
Girgensons
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Greig
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (1,144)
45.5% (2,718)
+3.2%
Power Play
56.8% (74)
49.1% (175)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (178)
42.2% (483)
+5.0%
On power play, Greig has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Greig is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Greig shoots left. Girgensons is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,078).
Home / Away
Greig
Girgensons
Home
49.9% (688)
45.5% (1,693)
Away
48.0% (708)
45.0% (1,683)
By Period
Greig
Girgensons
P1
46.0%
45.8%
P2
51.8%
44.1%
P3
49.1%
45.7%
OT
28.6%
52.5%
Final 5 min
53.2%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Greig
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.9%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2024 | 3 | 16:43 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 27, 2024 | 3 | 13:28 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 09:32 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 1 | 02:03 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 17:08 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |