Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nash 48.5% vs Aho 51.3% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Nash leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 73.5%
Defensive zone
Nash 65.9%
Neutral zone
Aho 52.0%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 58.4%
41.6%
58.4%
Nash
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
11
(24 meetings)
13
11
Nash
Aho
Last 10: Nash 6-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
3
10
Nash
Aho
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
7
0
Nash
Aho
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
3
1
Nash
Aho
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nash
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (4,621)
50.1% (6,415)
-1.4%
Power Play
51.0% (249)
59.1% (1,297)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (550)
46.0% (446)
-1.1%
On power play, Aho has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Nash is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,747).
Nash shoots right. Aho is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,013).
Home / Away
Nash
Aho
Home
50.2% (2,740)
52.4% (4,199)
Away
46.7% (2,681)
50.2% (3,959)
By Period
Nash
Aho
P1
49.0%
51.2%
P2
47.9%
52.1%
P3
48.0%
50.8%
OT
68.4%
48.9%
Final 5 min
45.9%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 04:22 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 04:16 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 1 | 15:59 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 1 | 11:52 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 13:18 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 12:58 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 08:09 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 2 | 07:53 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 3 | 07:55 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 2 | 15:30 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 1 | 07:22 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 7, 2021 | 2 | 13:59 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 7, 2021 | 2 | 13:41 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 7, 2021 | 1 | 18:33 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 13:25 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 05:42 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 2 | 11:20 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 2 | 05:59 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 1 | 19:02 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Oct 5, 2018 | 3 | 10:03 | Defensive | Riley Nash |