Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Sheahan on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sheahan 50.1% vs Hertl 54.3% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Sheahan leads 25-17 in 42 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 92.2%
Defensive zone
Hertl 64.5%
Neutral zone
Hertl 76.6%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 76.2%
23.8%
76.2%
Sheahan
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
17
(42 meetings)
25
17
Sheahan
Hertl
Last 10: Sheahan 6-4 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
3
9
Sheahan
Hertl
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sheahan
15
2
Sheahan
Hertl
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sheahan
7
6
Sheahan
Hertl
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sheahan
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (4,968)
53.9% (8,290)
-2.9%
Power Play
55.6% (322)
59.3% (1,991)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (1,068)
46.3% (806)
-2.0%
On power play, Hertl has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Sheahan is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,993).
Sheahan shoots left. Hertl is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,945).
Home / Away
Sheahan
Hertl
Home
51.1% (3,247)
55.8% (5,365)
Away
49.0% (3,111)
52.9% (5,722)
By Period
Sheahan
Hertl
P1
51.3%
53.6%
P2
51.2%
54.1%
P3
48.1%
55.3%
OT
35.6%
46.9%
Final 5 min
50.9%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.1%
Hertl
64.0%▲
60.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 14:37 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 12:45 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 11:11 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 10:57 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 19:53 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 18:53 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 18:30 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 18:04 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 12:14 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 10:33 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 10:09 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 09:00 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 02:47 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 2 | 06:31 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 3 | 10:52 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 3 | 07:54 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 3 | 05:46 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 3 | 05:20 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 2 | 17:27 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |