Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Sheahan on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sheahan 50.1% vs Nosek 53.6% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nosek 60.8%
Defensive zone
Nosek 56.3%
Neutral zone
Nosek 54.6%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Sheahan
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Sheahan
Nosek
Last 7: Sheahan 4-3 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Sheahan
Nosek
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sheahan
3
1
Sheahan
Nosek
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Sheahan
Nosek
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sheahan
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (4,968)
54.9% (2,710)
-3.9%
Power Play
55.6% (322)
45.8% (48)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (1,068)
47.2% (428)
-2.9%
On power play, Sheahan has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Sheahan is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,993).
Sheahan shoots left. Nosek is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,959).
Home / Away
Sheahan
Nosek
Home
51.1% (3,247)
52.8% (1,656)
Away
49.0% (3,111)
54.7% (1,530)
By Period
Sheahan
Nosek
P1
51.3%
52.2%
P2
51.2%
54.1%
P3
48.1%
54.7%
OT
35.6%
75.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.1%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2022 | 2 | 06:47 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 2 | 13:17 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 2 | 06:06 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 1 | 13:40 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 1 | 13:27 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 19:17 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 19:09 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |