Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Fabbri on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fabbri 45.9% vs Gourde 48.9% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Fabbri leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Gourde 59.7%
Defensive zone
Gourde 83.6%
Neutral zone
Gourde 77.0%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 73.8%
26.2%
73.8%
Fabbri
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Fabbri
Gourde
Last 10: Fabbri 7-3 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fabbri
2
1
Fabbri
Gourde
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Fabbri
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fabbri
6
1
Fabbri
Gourde
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fabbri
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
42.5% (160)
49.0% (557)
-6.5%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
65.9% (44)
-15.9%
On power play, Gourde has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Fabbri is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (137).
Fabbri shoots left. Gourde is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Fabbri
Gourde
Home
45.1% (91)
49.0% (314)
Away
42.4% (99)
48.4% (335)
By Period
Fabbri
Gourde
P1
46.2%
54.0%
P2
44.8%
44.6%
P3
39.7%
48.4%
Final 5 min
46.9%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fabbri
44.0%▼
51.0%
43.7%
Gourde
50.0%▲
43.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2021 | 1 | 01:28 | Offensive | Robby Fabbri |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robby Fabbri |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 3 | 02:42 | Neutral | Robby Fabbri |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 1 | 18:32 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 3 | 16:18 | Neutral | Robby Fabbri |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 3 | 13:29 | Neutral | Robby Fabbri |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 3 | 13:07 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 3 | 00:49 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 2 | 17:29 | Neutral | Robby Fabbri |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 2 | 10:56 | Defensive | Robby Fabbri |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 1 | 17:20 | Offensive | Robby Fabbri |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 1 | 13:56 | Neutral | Robby Fabbri |