Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Fabbri on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fabbri 47.4% vs Gourde 48.3% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Fabbri leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Fabbri 54.0%
Defensive zone
Gourde 87.8%
Neutral zone
Gourde 69.1%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 66.4%
33.6%
66.4%
Fabbri
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Fabbri
Gourde
Last 10: Fabbri 7-3 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fabbri
2
1
Fabbri
Gourde
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Fabbri
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fabbri
6
1
Fabbri
Gourde
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fabbri
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (531)
48.5% (4,763)
-3.1%
Power Play
53.0% (168)
57.5% (367)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (28)
39.9% (534)
+3.0%
On power play, Gourde has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Fabbri is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (486).
Fabbri shoots left. Gourde is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,791).
Home / Away
Fabbri
Gourde
Home
48.6% (368)
49.4% (2,808)
Away
45.4% (359)
47.2% (2,856)
By Period
Fabbri
Gourde
P1
44.1%
50.4%
P2
49.0%
47.2%
P3
48.2%
47.2%
OT
37.5%
38.5%
Final 5 min
44.8%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fabbri
44.0%▼
51.0%
47.0%
Gourde
50.0%▲
43.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2021 | 1 | 01:28 | Offensive | Robby Fabbri |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robby Fabbri |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 3 | 02:42 | Neutral | Robby Fabbri |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 1 | 18:32 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 3 | 16:18 | Neutral | Robby Fabbri |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 3 | 13:29 | Neutral | Robby Fabbri |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 3 | 13:07 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 3 | 00:49 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 2 | 17:29 | Neutral | Robby Fabbri |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 2 | 10:56 | Defensive | Robby Fabbri |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 1 | 17:20 | Offensive | Robby Fabbri |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 1 | 13:56 | Neutral | Robby Fabbri |