Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 51.9% vs Hintz 58.0% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 74.1%
Defensive zone
Thomas 54.6%
Neutral zone
Hintz 54.6%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 60.8%
39.2%
60.8%
Thomas
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Thomas
Hintz
Last 8: Thomas 4-4 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
1
Thomas
Hintz
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
1
Thomas
Hintz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Thomas
Hintz
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (652)
58.7% (530)
-8.4%
Power Play
61.5% (104)
59.4% (170)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (120)
66.7% (27)
-12.5%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Thomas is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Thomas shoots right. Hintz is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
Thomas
Hintz
Home
52.0% (400)
60.2% (354)
Away
52.3% (476)
58.2% (373)
By Period
Thomas
Hintz
P1
49.6%
58.4%
P2
55.4%
59.8%
P3
51.0%
58.2%
OT
57.1%
81.8%
Final 5 min
50.9%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
52.2%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 18:36 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 15:34 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 15:08 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 03:35 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 06:44 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |