Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 51.7% vs Greene 43.9% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Greene 61.0%
Defensive zone
Greene 71.8%
Neutral zone
Greene 72.6%
Result
Ryan Greene favored at 68.8%
31.2%
68.8%
Thomas
Greene
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Thomas
Greene
Last 7: Thomas 2-5 Greene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Greene
0
2
Thomas
Greene
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Thomas
Greene
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greene
0
1
Thomas
Greene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Greene
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (635)
43.6% (512)
+6.6%
Power Play
61.0% (100)
46.8% (62)
+14.2%
Penalty Kill
53.4% (118)
40.1% (167)
+13.3%
On power play, Thomas has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greene shoots right. Thomas is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Thomas shoots right. Greene is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Thomas
Greene
Home
52.0% (400)
47.4% (382)
Away
51.9% (453)
38.4% (359)
By Period
Thomas
Greene
P1
49.4%
46.8%
P2
55.2%
37.6%
P3
50.7%
45.2%
OT
57.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
48.0%▲
45.5%
51.9%
Greene
26.0%▼
34.0%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 06:55 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 19:10 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2 | 00:36 | Offensive | Ryan Greene |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 1 | 07:06 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 1 | 03:41 | Neutral | Ryan Greene |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 00:43 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 1 | 19:00 | Offensive | Ryan Greene |