Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Thomas wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Greene shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 51.6% vs Greene 43.7% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Greene 61.7%
Defensive zone
Greene 82.4%
Neutral zone
Greene 72.8%
Result
Ryan Greene favored at 75.1%
24.9%
75.1%
Thomas
Greene
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Thomas
Greene
Last 7: Thomas 2-5 Greene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Greene
0
2
Thomas
Greene
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Thomas
Greene
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greene
0
1
Thomas
Greene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Greene
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,387)
43.2% (530)
+7.9%
Power Play
55.8% (927)
46.8% (62)
+9.0%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (697)
40.1% (167)
+10.1%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greene shoots right. Thomas is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,044).
Thomas shoots right. Greene is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (194).
Home / Away
Thomas
Greene
Home
50.9% (3,484)
47.4% (382)
Away
52.3% (3,527)
38.2% (377)
By Period
Thomas
Greene
P1
50.7%
46.1%
P2
53.0%
37.6%
P3
50.8%
45.2%
OT
59.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.3%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
51.6%
Greene
26.0%▼
34.0%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 06:55 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 19:10 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2 | 00:36 | Offensive | Ryan Greene |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 1 | 07:06 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 1 | 03:41 | Neutral | Ryan Greene |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 00:43 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 1 | 19:00 | Offensive | Ryan Greene |