Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 51.9% vs McLeod 47.4% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 81.8%
Defensive zone
Thomas 54.7%
Neutral zone
Thomas 76.1%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 70.9%
70.9%
29.1%
Thomas
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Thomas
McLeod
Last 8: Thomas 5-3 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Thomas
McLeod
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
1
Thomas
McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
0
Thomas
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (652)
49.0% (827)
+1.3%
Power Play
61.5% (104)
44.0% (91)
+17.5%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (120)
43.0% (272)
+11.2%
On power play, Thomas has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Thomas is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Thomas shoots right. McLeod is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (415).
Home / Away
Thomas
McLeod
Home
52.0% (400)
48.5% (619)
Away
52.3% (476)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Thomas
McLeod
P1
49.6%
52.7%
P2
55.4%
43.9%
P3
51.0%
45.8%
OT
57.1%
35.7%
Final 5 min
50.9%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
52.2%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 10:31 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 16:43 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 02:48 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 02:14 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 02:04 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 09:48 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 06:51 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |