Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on defensive-zone draws (68% H2H, 22 meetings). Thomas wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 51.6% vs Strome 44.6% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 33-23 in 56 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 79.2%
Defensive zone
Thomas 79.6%
Neutral zone
Thomas 85.7%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 81.1%
81.1%
18.9%
Thomas
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
33
-
23
(56 meetings)
33
23
Thomas
Strome
Last 10: Thomas 6-4 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
8
11
Thomas
Strome
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
15
7
Thomas
Strome
22 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
10
5
Thomas
Strome
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,387)
44.2% (6,887)
+6.9%
Power Play
55.8% (927)
49.2% (855)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (697)
41.5% (410)
+8.7%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Thomas is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,044).
Thomas shoots right. Strome is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,379).
Home / Away
Thomas
Strome
Home
50.9% (3,484)
44.4% (4,077)
Away
52.3% (3,527)
44.8% (4,075)
By Period
Thomas
Strome
P1
50.7%
43.9%
P2
53.0%
45.4%
P3
50.8%
44.4%
OT
59.2%
46.3%
Final 5 min
53.3%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
51.6%
Strome
50.0%▲
45.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | OT | 04:17 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 3 | 15:21 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 1 | 01:04 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 3 | 19:05 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 3 | 14:41 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 2 | 12:46 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 2 | 02:04 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 1 | 19:06 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 1 | 05:40 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 1 | 02:37 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 17:30 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 07:26 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 04:08 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 7, 2024 | OT | 04:58 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 2 | 14:26 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 2 | 09:33 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |