Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 49.9% vs Monahan 52.8% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 54.7%
Defensive zone
Thomas 52.1%
Neutral zone
Monahan 51.0%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Thomas
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Thomas
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Thomas
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
0
Thomas
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (910)
51.5% (641)
-2.5%
Power Play
53.5% (142)
62.8% (129)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (75)
33.3% (9)
+20.0%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Thomas is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Thomas shoots right. Monahan is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Thomas
Monahan
Home
47.3% (514)
53.9% (362)
Away
52.0% (613)
52.5% (417)
By Period
Thomas
Monahan
P1
50.4%
48.0%
P2
47.5%
57.0%
P3
51.4%
54.1%
OT
61.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
49.9%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2022 | 2 | 01:23 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 2 | 00:38 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 1 | 15:06 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |