Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.6% vs 51.3%). Look for Thomas on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 51.6% vs Aho 51.3% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 29-20 in 49 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 59.5%
Defensive zone
Thomas 65.5%
Neutral zone
Thomas 55.1%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Thomas
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
29
-
20
(49 meetings)
29
20
Thomas
Aho
Last 10: Thomas 6-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
9
10
Thomas
Aho
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
10
6
Thomas
Aho
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
10
4
Thomas
Aho
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,387)
50.2% (6,646)
+0.9%
Power Play
55.8% (927)
58.9% (1,310)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (697)
46.5% (465)
+3.7%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Thomas is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,967).
Thomas shoots right. Aho is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,104).
Home / Away
Thomas
Aho
Home
50.9% (3,484)
52.4% (4,325)
Away
52.3% (3,527)
50.1% (4,096)
By Period
Thomas
Aho
P1
50.7%
51.1%
P2
53.0%
52.1%
P3
50.8%
50.8%
OT
59.2%
48.9%
Final 5 min
53.3%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
51.6%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 18:16 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 14:03 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 07:46 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 06:02 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 03:20 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 13:31 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 10:22 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 06:31 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:22 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 09:37 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 03:21 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 00:34 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 3 | 19:02 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 3 | 07:44 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 2 | 15:02 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 2 | 11:00 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 2 | 08:07 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 2 | 05:15 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 17:48 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 17:34 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |