Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 51.9% vs Jarvis 46.3% (+10.9%)
Offensive zone
Jarvis 63.5%
Defensive zone
Thomas 59.2%
Neutral zone
Thomas 50.2%
Result
Seth Jarvis favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Thomas
Jarvis
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (652)
42.6% (54)
+7.7%
Power Play
61.5% (104)
33.3% (6)
+28.2%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (120)
40.0% (15)
+14.2%
On power play, Thomas has a +28.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Thomas is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Thomas shoots right. Jarvis is 35.7% vs right-shot opponents (14).
Home / Away
Thomas
Jarvis
Home
52.0% (400)
43.6% (39)
Away
52.3% (476)
38.9% (36)
By Period
Thomas
Jarvis
P1
49.6%
36.0%
P2
55.4%
48.3%
P3
51.0%
36.8%
OT
57.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
23.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
52.2%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
41.3%