Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 51.6% vs Nosek 53.6% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Nosek leads 16-10 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 70.2%
Defensive zone
Nosek 64.1%
Neutral zone
Thomas 55.0%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Thomas
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
16
(26 meetings)
10
16
Thomas
Nosek
Last 10: Thomas 5-5 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
3
5
Thomas
Nosek
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
4
5
Thomas
Nosek
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
3
6
Thomas
Nosek
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,387)
54.9% (2,710)
-3.8%
Power Play
55.8% (927)
45.8% (48)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (697)
47.2% (428)
+3.0%
On power play, Thomas has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Thomas is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,967).
Thomas shoots right. Nosek is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,227).
Home / Away
Thomas
Nosek
Home
50.9% (3,484)
52.8% (1,656)
Away
52.3% (3,527)
54.7% (1,530)
By Period
Thomas
Nosek
P1
50.7%
52.2%
P2
53.0%
54.1%
P3
50.8%
54.7%
OT
59.2%
75.0%
Final 5 min
53.3%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
51.6%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 05:46 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 7, 2022 | 1 | 02:30 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 3 | 09:29 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 2 | 19:57 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 1 | 17:07 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 3 | 10:05 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 3 | 09:50 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 3 | 09:42 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 11:01 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 04:37 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 01:27 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 01:20 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 19:53 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 19:44 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 09:47 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 06:42 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 03:15 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 1 | 13:39 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 1 | 13:30 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 1 | 07:50 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |