Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Thomas wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Boyd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 51.6% vs Boyd 44.1% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 74.5%
Defensive zone
Thomas 59.5%
Neutral zone
Thomas 73.0%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 69.8%
69.8%
30.2%
Thomas
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
8
(18 meetings)
10
8
Thomas
Boyd
Last 10: Thomas 7-3 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
4
3
Thomas
Boyd
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyd
2
3
Thomas
Boyd
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
4
2
Thomas
Boyd
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,387)
44.4% (2,186)
+6.7%
Power Play
55.8% (927)
46.5% (256)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (697)
35.6% (208)
+14.6%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Thomas is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,044).
Thomas shoots right. Boyd is 43.5% vs right-shot opponents (813).
Home / Away
Thomas
Boyd
Home
50.9% (3,484)
46.3% (1,327)
Away
52.3% (3,527)
41.5% (1,324)
By Period
Thomas
Boyd
P1
50.7%
41.7%
P2
53.0%
46.2%
P3
50.8%
44.0%
OT
59.2%
22.2%
Final 5 min
53.3%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
51.6%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 17:54 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 09:33 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 01:56 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 13:14 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 11:29 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 19:07 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 16:47 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 16:38 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 00:51 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 01:12 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 13:32 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 4, 2022 | 2 | 17:21 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 4, 2022 | 2 | 13:51 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Apr 4, 2022 | 2 | 06:33 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 06:48 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 14:58 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 08:07 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 04:11 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |