Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 51.9% vs Johnston 48.0% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnston 54.7%
Defensive zone
Johnston 53.4%
Neutral zone
Johnston 55.2%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Thomas
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Thomas
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Thomas
Johnston
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
0
Thomas
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (652)
47.3% (666)
+3.0%
Power Play
61.5% (104)
50.7% (69)
+10.8%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (120)
51.4% (35)
+2.8%
On power play, Thomas has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Thomas is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Thomas shoots right. Johnston is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Home / Away
Thomas
Johnston
Home
52.0% (400)
47.5% (364)
Away
52.3% (476)
48.0% (406)
By Period
Thomas
Johnston
P1
49.6%
49.4%
P2
55.4%
46.9%
P3
51.0%
47.1%
OT
57.1%
47.1%
Final 5 min
50.9%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
52.2%
Johnston
40.0%▼
49.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 05:36 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 17:45 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |