Scouting Report
Rodrigo Abols holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Ostapchuk on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Abols 51.6% vs Ostapchuk 50.6% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ostapchuk 51.8%
Defensive zone
Ostapchuk 58.8%
Neutral zone
Ostapchuk 59.0%
Result
Zack Ostapchuk favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Abols
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Abols
Ostapchuk
Last 5: Abols 1-4 Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Abols
Ostapchuk
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
0
3
Abols
Ostapchuk
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Abols
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (293)
52.5% (320)
-0.3%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
33.3% (3)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
42.4% (59)
+7.6%
On power play, Abols has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Abols is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (195).
Abols shoots left. Ostapchuk is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (262).
Home / Away
Abols
Ostapchuk
Home
54.7% (150)
49.1% (171)
Away
49.7% (153)
52.1% (211)
By Period
Abols
Ostapchuk
P1
54.4%
50.4%
P2
46.3%
46.8%
P3
56.2%
55.1%
Final 5 min
52.0%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Abols
54.0%▲
51.5%
52.1%
Ostapchuk
52.0%▲
50.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 18:17 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 03:20 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 09:57 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 06:20 | Defensive | Rodrigo Abols |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 02:49 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |