Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +13.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hintz wins 57.3% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hintz 58.0% vs Hartman 45.6% (+13.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 58.6%
Defensive zone
Hartman 58.2%
Neutral zone
Hartman 61.6%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Hintz
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Hintz
Hartman
Last 7: Hintz 3-4 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
2
Hintz
Hartman
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
2
Hintz
Hartman
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hintz
2
0
Hintz
Hartman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hintz
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
58.7% (530)
45.1% (874)
+13.6%
Power Play
59.4% (170)
47.4% (95)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (27)
37.5% (16)
+29.2%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +29.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Hintz is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (260).
Hintz shoots left. Hartman is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Hintz
Hartman
Home
60.2% (354)
45.0% (515)
Away
58.2% (373)
45.3% (470)
By Period
Hintz
Hartman
P1
58.4%
47.3%
P2
59.8%
40.1%
P3
58.2%
48.3%
OT
81.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.5%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
59.1%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 17:00 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 13:04 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 10:42 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 03:50 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 12:35 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 19:09 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 03:38 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |