Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Hintz wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hintz 53.8% vs Kuraly 50.4% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Hintz 81.8%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 84.7%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 58.5%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Hintz
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Hintz
Kuraly
Last 10: Hintz 5-5 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
4
1
Hintz
Kuraly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
4
Hintz
Kuraly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
2
Hintz
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hintz
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (3,722)
51.6% (5,161)
+2.2%
Power Play
55.4% (567)
56.4% (101)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (221)
44.4% (1,091)
+8.5%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Hintz is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Hintz shoots left. Kuraly is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (4,119).
Home / Away
Hintz
Kuraly
Home
54.9% (2,317)
52.1% (3,205)
Away
52.9% (2,193)
48.8% (3,149)
By Period
Hintz
Kuraly
P1
55.5%
51.2%
P2
53.9%
50.0%
P3
52.7%
50.2%
OT
49.3%
52.3%
Final 5 min
54.0%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.9%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 11:29 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 3 | 01:50 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 2 | 15:00 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 12:48 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 07:44 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 16:49 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 16:32 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 12:19 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 3 | 08:20 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 2 | 00:10 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 2 | 06:48 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |