Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hintz on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hintz wins 60.2% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hintz 58.0% vs Aho 50.5% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 74.4%
Defensive zone
Hintz 81.9%
Neutral zone
Hintz 71.9%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 77.2%
77.2%
22.8%
Hintz
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Hintz
Aho
Last 8: Hintz 5-3 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
1
0
Hintz
Aho
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Hintz
Aho
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hintz
2
1
Hintz
Aho
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hintz
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
58.7% (530)
50.5% (878)
+8.2%
Power Play
59.4% (170)
53.5% (144)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (27)
44.3% (61)
+22.4%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +22.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Hintz is 60.2% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Hintz shoots left. Aho is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Hintz
Aho
Home
60.2% (354)
53.8% (571)
Away
58.2% (373)
46.9% (512)
By Period
Hintz
Aho
P1
58.4%
49.0%
P2
59.8%
51.7%
P3
58.2%
50.3%
OT
81.8%
58.8%
Final 5 min
57.5%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
59.1%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 10:30 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 05:14 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 09:23 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 09:06 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 07:10 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 01:04 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 09:34 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 01:09 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |