Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hintz wins 60.2% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hintz 58.0% vs Gourde 46.0% (+13.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 93.3%
Defensive zone
Hintz 60.8%
Neutral zone
Hintz 76.6%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 79.5%
79.5%
20.5%
Hintz
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Hintz
Gourde
Last 6: Hintz 4-2 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
2
0
Hintz
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
1
0
Hintz
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
2
Hintz
Gourde
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hintz
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
58.7% (530)
47.2% (687)
+11.5%
Power Play
59.4% (170)
45.0% (20)
+14.4%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (27)
33.0% (88)
+33.7%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +33.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Hintz is 60.2% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Hintz shoots left. Gourde is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (522).
Home / Away
Hintz
Gourde
Home
60.2% (354)
44.4% (356)
Away
58.2% (373)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Hintz
Gourde
P1
58.4%
42.2%
P2
59.8%
50.0%
P3
58.2%
44.5%
OT
81.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
59.1%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | 3 | 17:17 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 3 | 12:57 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 3 | 09:30 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 2 | 08:42 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 2 | 05:09 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |