Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colton 51.1% vs Johansen 53.3% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colton 54.0%
Defensive zone
Colton 63.1%
Neutral zone
Colton 61.4%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 61.5%
61.5%
38.5%
Colton
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Colton
Johansen
Last 9: Colton 2-7 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Colton
Johansen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
3
Colton
Johansen
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
3
Colton
Johansen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colton
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (1,803)
53.1% (11,017)
-1.5%
Power Play
48.8% (162)
56.2% (2,163)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (29)
50.5% (978)
-16.0%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Colton is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (697).
Colton shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Home / Away
Colton
Johansen
Home
52.0% (1,015)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
50.3% (979)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Colton
Johansen
P1
53.7%
53.2%
P2
52.6%
53.9%
P3
47.9%
52.8%
OT
25.0%
58.2%
Final 5 min
46.7%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colton
46.0%▲
44.0%
51.2%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2022 | 2 | 14:50 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 1 | 02:53 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 19, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 06:01 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Apr 13, 2021 | 3 | 14:34 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 13, 2021 | 3 | 12:02 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Apr 13, 2021 | 3 | 09:38 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 13, 2021 | 3 | 09:24 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 3 | 07:10 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |