Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colton 51.1% vs McLeod 49.5% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
McLeod 58.3%
Defensive zone
McLeod 62.1%
Neutral zone
McLeod 60.1%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
Colton
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Colton
McLeod
Last 10: Colton 3-7 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
3
Colton
McLeod
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
2
Colton
McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
2
Colton
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colton
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (1,803)
50.4% (3,376)
+1.2%
Power Play
48.8% (162)
50.7% (296)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (29)
44.1% (644)
-9.6%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Colton is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,297).
Colton shoots left. McLeod is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,809).
Home / Away
Colton
McLeod
Home
52.0% (1,015)
50.0% (2,202)
Away
50.3% (979)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Colton
McLeod
P1
53.7%
50.8%
P2
52.6%
48.0%
P3
47.9%
50.0%
OT
25.0%
37.1%
Final 5 min
46.7%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colton
46.0%▲
44.0%
51.2%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2024 | 3 | 13:58 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 3 | 11:14 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 1 | 08:04 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 3 | 19:35 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 3 | 10:15 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 3 | 05:13 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 1 | 15:59 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 1 | 01:07 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 05:15 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Feb 23, 2022 | 3 | 19:56 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |