Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.2% vs 51.2%). Look for Monahan on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colton 51.1% vs Monahan 51.2% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 59.3%
Defensive zone
Colton 65.4%
Neutral zone
Colton 55.7%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Colton
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Colton
Monahan
Last 9: Colton 2-7 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Colton
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Colton
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
3
Colton
Monahan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colton
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (1,803)
51.1% (11,407)
+0.5%
Power Play
48.8% (162)
53.6% (2,582)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (29)
45.9% (772)
-11.4%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Colton is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,297).
Colton shoots left. Monahan is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (9,335).
Home / Away
Colton
Monahan
Home
52.0% (1,015)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
50.3% (979)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
Colton
Monahan
P1
53.7%
51.0%
P2
52.6%
51.7%
P3
47.9%
51.0%
OT
25.0%
53.5%
Final 5 min
46.7%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colton
46.0%▲
44.0%
51.2%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 15:05 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 10:23 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 12:17 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 09:46 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 09:37 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 19:58 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 16:23 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 16:20 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 15:56 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |