Scouting Report
Steven Lorentz holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Colton wins 42.2% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colton 48.1% vs Lorentz 51.5% (-7.8%)
Offensive zone
Colton 69.2%
Defensive zone
Lorentz 54.3%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 57.7%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Colton
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colton
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (76)
56.7% (60)
-12.0%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
0.0% (1)
+75.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
40.0% (10)
-40.0%
On power play, Colton has a +75.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Colton is 42.2% vs left-shot opponents (45).
Colton shoots left. Lorentz is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (43).
Home / Away
Colton
Lorentz
Home
42.1% (38)
55.6% (54)
Away
48.8% (43)
47.1% (17)
By Period
Colton
Lorentz
P1
50.0%
57.9%
P2
46.7%
55.2%
P3
39.1%
47.8%
Final 5 min
25.0%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colton
38.0%▼
41.5%
45.7%
Lorentz
58.0%▲
47.5%
53.5%