Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.5% vs 49.0%). Colton wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colton 49.2% vs Lorentz 49.5% (-0.5%)
Offensive zone
Colton 70.8%
Defensive zone
Lorentz 61.4%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 58.9%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Colton
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colton
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (91)
51.4% (74)
-4.1%
Power Play
71.4% (7)
50.0% (2)
+21.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
42.3% (26)
-42.3%
On penalty kill, Lorentz has a +42.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Colton is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (59).
Colton shoots left. Lorentz is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (59).
Home / Away
Colton
Lorentz
Home
46.9% (49)
52.9% (68)
Away
50.0% (50)
41.2% (34)
By Period
Colton
Lorentz
P1
56.4%
58.6%
P2
47.1%
45.0%
P3
38.5%
45.5%
Final 5 min
41.2%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colton
46.0%▲
44.0%
48.5%
Lorentz
48.0%▬
48.0%
49.0%