Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colton 49.2% vs Thompson 45.2% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colton 62.8%
Defensive zone
Colton 55.2%
Neutral zone
Colton 50.6%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Colton
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Colton
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Colton
1
0
Colton
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colton
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (91)
44.6% (661)
+2.7%
Power Play
71.4% (7)
48.4% (95)
+23.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
33.3% (33)
-33.3%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Colton is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (40).
Colton shoots left. Thompson is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Colton
Thompson
Home
46.9% (49)
45.7% (411)
Away
50.0% (50)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Colton
Thompson
P1
56.4%
47.7%
P2
47.1%
45.7%
P3
38.5%
40.5%
Final 5 min
41.2%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colton
46.0%▲
44.0%
48.5%
Thompson
36.0%▼
40.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 07:29 | Defensive | Ross Colton |