Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Colton on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colton 51.1% vs Gourde 48.2% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Gourde 50.6%
Defensive zone
Colton 50.0%
Neutral zone
Colton 50.7%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Colton
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Colton
Gourde
Last 10: Colton 5-5 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colton
2
1
Colton
Gourde
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
2
Colton
Gourde
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Colton
Gourde
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colton
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (1,803)
48.4% (4,987)
+3.2%
Power Play
48.8% (162)
57.4% (376)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (29)
40.0% (555)
-5.5%
On power play, Gourde has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Colton is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,297).
Colton shoots left. Gourde is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,967).
Home / Away
Colton
Gourde
Home
52.0% (1,015)
49.3% (2,949)
Away
50.3% (979)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Colton
Gourde
P1
53.7%
49.8%
P2
52.6%
47.5%
P3
47.9%
47.5%
OT
25.0%
37.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colton
46.0%▲
44.0%
51.2%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2024 | 2 | 17:25 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 1 | 09:29 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Nov 13, 2023 | 3 | 18:02 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 13, 2023 | 2 | 12:34 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 2 | 04:19 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 1 | 09:23 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 15:09 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 03:52 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 00:06 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ross Colton |