Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Carpenter wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carpenter 48.5% vs Bennett 47.2% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Bennett leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 79.2%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 74.5%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 52.2%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Carpenter
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Carpenter
Bennett
Last 10: Carpenter 4-6 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
1
0
Carpenter
Bennett
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Carpenter
Bennett
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
2
4
Carpenter
Bennett
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carpenter
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (2,027)
46.8% (5,714)
+2.8%
Power Play
41.5% (41)
53.6% (558)
-12.1%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (467)
41.8% (256)
+2.1%
On power play, Bennett has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Carpenter is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,840).
Carpenter shoots right. Bennett is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,269).
Home / Away
Carpenter
Bennett
Home
51.2% (1,290)
48.3% (3,296)
Away
45.5% (1,245)
45.9% (3,232)
By Period
Carpenter
Bennett
P1
49.6%
48.0%
P2
47.7%
46.5%
P3
48.0%
46.8%
OT
55.6%
54.8%
Final 5 min
49.6%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%
Bennett
46.0%▼
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 11:23 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 18:56 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 18:51 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 16:11 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 12:38 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 01:03 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 1 | 16:33 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 1 | 04:07 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 2 | 18:14 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 2 | 19:54 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 2 | 19:42 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |