Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Carpenter wins 61.1% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carpenter 52.2% vs Lafferty 50.9% (+2.9%)
Offensive zone
Carpenter 63.4%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 69.2%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 54.7%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Carpenter
Lafferty
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carpenter
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (113)
52.2% (366)
+0.9%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
60.0% (15)
+40.0%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (10)
46.2% (104)
+13.8%
On power play, Carpenter has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Carpenter is 61.1% vs right-shot opponents (36).
Carpenter shoots right. Lafferty is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (122).
Home / Away
Carpenter
Lafferty
Home
58.5% (65)
53.1% (258)
Away
49.2% (59)
48.9% (227)
By Period
Carpenter
Lafferty
P1
65.8%
52.5%
P2
50.0%
49.7%
P3
47.9%
51.3%
Final 5 min
43.5%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
54.0%
Lafferty
48.0%▼
50.0%
51.1%