Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hayton wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.3% vs Donato 47.1% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 69.3%
Defensive zone
Hayton 82.3%
Neutral zone
Hayton 85.3%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 79.4%
79.4%
20.6%
Hayton
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Hayton
Donato
Last 6: Hayton 5-1 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Donato
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Donato
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
3
0
Hayton
Donato
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (647)
46.8% (297)
+5.6%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
41.0% (39)
+15.8%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
100.0% (1)
-63.2%
On penalty kill, Donato has a +63.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Hayton is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (475).
Hayton shoots left. Donato is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
Hayton
Donato
Home
56.8% (433)
45.8% (142)
Away
47.4% (344)
46.7% (195)
By Period
Hayton
Donato
P1
52.8%
49.5%
P2
50.3%
45.7%
P3
55.4%
43.4%
OT
25.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Donato
40.0%▼
46.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 09:01 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 3 | 07:10 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 15:27 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |